The beginning of the Eighty Years War and the origins of the Golden Age of Dutch painting have been related to each other by historians in many ways. The unrest that led to the outbreak of the revolt was attended by iconoclastic incidents that traumatized the art world; the alteration from Catholicism to Calvinism changed the meaning of no profession (the clergy excepted) more than that of the painter. Religious repression in the southern Netherlands drove hordes of artists, dealers and art-lovers to the north, where they transformed Amsterdam into a new Antwerp, the former mother of the arts in the Netherlands. The decline of public ecclesiastical patronage forced this large population of painters to search for new buyers, new formats and new subjects. The institution of a republican form of government and the strengthening of the burgher oligarchies in the cities created a matrix of patronage more diffuse and more commercial than those in other countries. The disruption of European civil society by the Eighty (and even more by the Thirty) Years War made the role of Amsterdam as emporium of the arts more exclusive and more profitable than it would otherwise have been. The degree to which these relationships are determinative is debatable, but the outcome of that debate is not likely to undermine the overall interconnectedness between the course and conduct of the Revolt and the rise and flourishing of the arts in the northern Netherlands.
If that is so, why should we not also ask the corresponding question concerning the cessation of the Eighty Years War? Is there a relation between the Treaty of Münster and the end of the Golden Age? There are several reasons why this may not seem like a promising line of enquiry. (Indeed, the question does not seem to have been posed until now.) One is that the end of the Golden Age is not thought to have occurred until much later than 1648. It is usually dated to the final quarter of the seventeenth century. The historical and military events associated with it are the wars with the French, starting in 1672. Historians of art tend to see in this event the birth of French cultural hegemony over northern Europe. This view of the decline of the Dutch Golden Age is qualitative. A typical statement of this thesis can be found in the Pelican History of Art volume on Dutch seventeenth-century art. [1]
II. SIZE
In 1987 Ad van der Woude shook up specialists in Dutch painting with an estimate of the number of paintings produced in the Golden Age. He based his calculation on figures from Thera Wijsenbeek-Olthuis's book on Delft households in the eighteenth century. [26]
"Assuming that the city of Delft can stand for all of Holland with respect both to the distribution of wealth among households and the average number of paintings held by members of each property class [of five], I calculated the total number of paintings decorating the walls in the households of Holland.... If the mean household life span is twenty years, there are eleven generations of households between 1580 and 1800. For the 2.16 million households estimated to have existed in this period, I have calculated the presence of nearly 25 million paintings, or nearly 11.5 paintings per household.... But ... it seems prudent to assume that the number of paintings in rural areas was rather less than in the cities."
After correcting for this difference, van der Woude arrives at a total estimate of about 18 million paintings. That is for "the number of paintings present in households" in the province of Holland between 1580 and 1800.
This figure includes a certain amount of duplication. Some paintings occur in more than one inventory, having been passed on from generation to generation. Since the Wijsenbeek-Olthuis figures show a decline in the number of paintings in households of about fifty percent per generation ("i.e. after four changes of generations: 100> 50> 25> 12?> 6?") van der Woude concludes that the production of paintings necessary to achieve the estimated ownership figures amounts to about nine million paintings. At least two-thirds of these will have to have been produced before 1700, providing a low figure for the production of paintings between 1580 and 1700 of about six million works, or some 50,000 per year.
Since the number of foreign painters among the identified names in Dutch collections is negligible, we may assume that nearly all of these works were made in the Republic. Using Montias's figures for the number of painters working in Delft, in relation to the population as a whole, van der Woude arrives for the province of Holland at an average working population of about 480 painters. This implies a rate of production per painter of about two paintings per week, a figure that van der Woude is able to defend on the basis of incidental documents. The number of two paintings a week recurs in several of his sources: in 1615 the highly skilled seascape specialist Jan Porcellis contracted to deliver forty paintings in twenty weeks; and pupils skilled in making copies were also said to be able to turn out two paintings a week.
Support for van der Woude's calculations has been provided by Michael Montias, based on his estimate of the earnings of painters and the prices of paintings. Master painters, he argues, needed to earn some 25 to 30 guilders a week from their work. [27] With paintings fetching an average price of about 15 guilders, this calculation too boils down to a rate of two paintings a week.
It is not likely that these first attempts at quantification, which are based on extrapolation from a narrow statistical base, are exactly on target. They have evoked shocked and bitter responses from some. The art dealer Saam Nystad countered with information from current catalogue raisonnés of fifty painters, which average out at 4.26 paintings a year, nearly 25 times less than the van der Woude-Montias-tempo. Nystad refuses to credit the high rate of loss projected by van der Woude. He also objects to the compilation of figures concerning paintings in general, when the interest of posterity is in the small portion of those works which can be considered art. [28] In all, however, the evidence seems strongly to favor the estimates of van der Woude and Montias. The high rates of production and astronomical levels of production they posit make sense and help explain other phenomena. The explosion of specialties in the early decades of the seventeenth century can be seen as a function of the increased competitition among painters. The repeated efforts of the guild to build dams around the market and the auctions are also more readily explained.
The average figures do not tell the whole story, however. A far more dramatic situation is revealed by a chronological analysis of the numbers of painters active in the course of the seventeenth century. This shows a major rise until the generation born in the 1630s, followed by a precipitous decline thereafter. The large number of painters active from 1600 to 1660 were responsible for what Bok calls "structural overproduction." Given the long life of a painting, this created a growing reservoir of goods hanging over the market. The Dutch art market was an accident waiting to happen. A sure indication that the accident did occur is provided by Montias's figure concerning the relative proportion of works by dead and living artists in Amsterdam collections. The share of living masters began to shrink around 1640, collapsing by the end of the century from a highpoint of over 65 percent to a nadir of under twenty. [29] This curve recurs both in lists of painters represented in present-day museums and in purely archival lists, including many artists no works by whom are known. (Chart 1.) As Jan de Vries was the first to observe: "The ... distribution reveals a great concentration of activity in the period 1575-1639. The number of painters born after 1640 does not gradually decline; it falls abruptly to a much lower level." [30] The premise of Rosenberg and Slive that the numbers of painters active after the 1660s remained the same does not stand up to scrutiny. Henceforth, we must consider the end of the Golden Age primarily in terms of quantity, the loss of the critical mass of working talent needed to constitute a force in the art world. Until about our year of 1648, for over half a century Dutch parents had considered painting a promising profession for their children and had apprenticed them in ever-growing numbers to painters. They stopped doing this just as the peace was proclaimed, with its much-vaunted promise of a flourishing of the arts. The flourish was played on the drums of the Eighty Years War rather than blown on the trumpets of the heralds of peace.
III. ART AND THE END OF WAR
The fact that the world of Dutch painting rose and fell in step with the war presents us with a counter-example to the common cliché, current in 1648 as in so many other times, that art thrives in peace and languishes in war. The case deserves to be taken seriously for what it can teach us about that too-easy assumption.
Having started with a summary of the historical factors which are said to have affected the arts at the beginning of the Eighty Years War, let us now ask which of those may have been operative at its end. Iconoclasm did not recur, and Calvinist antagonism to art in the church does not seem to have had a structural influence on the art world. Immigration remained incidental after the 1580s. Brabant artists who were brought north after the Peace came as visitors, not as refugees. Nor was there a reverse movement of return to the south. The established Catholic church was no more hospitable to dissidents in 1650 than it was in 1580. Burgher and civic patronage in the northern Netherlands does not seem to have undergone marked changes in the course of the century. The level of portrait commissions, if that may be taken as an index for this phenomenon, remained fairly steady. Court patronage from The Hague collapsed after Huis ten Bosch, but new opportunities in Germany more than made up for it. At mid-century the German origins of the Nassaus and of Amalia von Solms came into play more obviously and significantly than before.
Our review of art-market channels does not allow us at this stage to follow the intensity of traffic in each route from decade to decade. However, it reveals a complex adaptive system in which mechanisms of various kinds can take over from others under changing circumstances. In themselves, the various channels for art sales will not have been responsible for large changes in volume. Every facility available, however effective in principle, was built into a system of checks and balances which prevented it from growing beyond certain limits. It seems reasonable to expect that the full panoply of market options was in play only during the period of maximum production, and that many of them lost their significance after around 1660. The order in which these mechanisms kicked in and died off will have been influenced by outside factors, but this is a fairly fortuitous development.
That leaves us without a ready explanation for the striking simultaneity of the end of the Eighty Years War and the peaking of the Golden Age. The immediate economic factors we identified for the decline in the art market around 1650 have little to do with the Trêves: the crunch on the artisan class in 1649-50 was the result of bad weather and that on traders in 1652-54 of long-term competition with England. They took place at a moment when a constantly growing population of painters had been producing at full speed for two generations. As Marten Jan Bok has argued, the sudden drop can be explained by this combination of causes: the mass of durable paintings that were in the market and the natural inclination of people with money to stop spending it on luxuries in times of crisis. [31]
Part of this development can be related to the Eighty Years War, though only indirectly. The structural overproduction of paintings from the 1620s on was made possible by the expansive Dutch commercial and political stance, backed up by force of arms on land and sea. The existence of a great volume of art made during the war was a key factor in the weakening of the market when it ended. Throughout, however, the market for paintings in the seventeenth century was a buyer's market. After 1650, supply so exceeded demand that no painter without special ties of protection was certain of his livelihood.
If the immediate effects of the Treaty of Münster on the arts in Holland remain vague, there is a linkage on a larger time scale which might prove more to the point. In his discussion of the long-term effects of the peace, Ad van der Woude observes that the Dutch reconciliation with Spain in 1648 betrayed the spirit - and even the letter - of its alliance with a major trade partner, France. This led to an estrangement that cost both partners dear. Especially the Netherlands.
"That ... our rapprochement with Spain was a turning point in our political as well as economical relations with France ... became increasingly clear after France and Spain settled their own divisions, more or less, in the Peace of 1659 and after France resolved her own internal problems and entered upon an expansionistic political and economic policy under the rule of the adult Louis XIV. This resulted in a series of major military conflicts, in which we were able to subdue the English alliance and preserve our independence, but which nearly bankrupted the state. When we emerged from this juncture our trade, shipping, fishing and industry were strongly transformed." [32]
One of the trades which was strongly transformed - decimated, in fact - was the art trade.
The bad luck of the painters was the good fortune of collectors, who were able to acquire top-quality art for very affordable prices. Seldom in history have people of normal means been able to fill their houses with art of such high standing. The painters of Holland produced a vast proliferation of images, themes and specialties for all ranges of the European market and for all price classes. Especially after 1648, the mounting mutual competition of such a large group of well-trained artists inspired extraordinary efforts that led to the creation of new standards for art throughout Europe and conquered for Holland a permanent place in world culture long after Dutch maritime, military and economic ascendancy had sunk away to historical curiosities.
FOOTNOTES
This paper benefitted considerably from the comments on advance drafts by Marten Jan Bok, Neil De Marchi and Filip Vermeylen, to whom I am very grateful.
1. Rosenberg/Slive/ter Kuile 1966.
2. Israel 1995.
3. For surveys that follow some of the same ground as the following section, see Montias 1982, pp. 183-219, and Bok/Schwartz 1991.
4. Bok 1984.
5. Montias 1982, p. 194.
6. On Kretzer, see Jong 1980, p. 10.
7. Miedema 1980, I, p. 251.
8. Marchi/Miegroet 1994, pp. 451-464; Footnote 12 promises a publication of material from the Antwerp archives on these issues.
9. Schwartz 1985, p. 142, sums up eleven distinct activities.
10. Haskell 1971, pp. 205-208.
11. Logan 1991, pp. 139-145.
12. Floerke 1972, pp. 65-66.
13. Eeghen 1969, pp. 74-88.
14. Montias 1982, pp. 202-206.
15. Hoogewerff 1947, p. 194.
16. For an excellent discussion of these issues, see Marchi 1995.
17. Floerke 1972, p. 42.
18. All the available evidence is gathered by Kosse 1992. Although Kosse only found documentation concerning twelve lotteries, she nonetheless concludes: "From the fact that the total appraised value of seven described lotteries of paintings from the first half of the seventeenth century amounted to nearly seventeen thousand guilders, we may assume that we are dealing with a phenomenon whose significance for the art market was more than negligible. All the more so since we very probably know only the tip of the iceberg" (p. 66).
19. Marchi 1995, pp. 214-217.
20. Montias 1982, p. 200. Cited by Kosse 1992, p. 32.
21. Bredius 1915, p. 9.
22. Montias 1982, pp. 205-206.
23. Gerson 1942. Using the index for a quick indication of the frequency of visits, one finds 126 references to Rome, 57 to London, 27 to Antwerp, 18 to Paris, 17 to Hamburg, 15 to Frankfurt, 14 to Berlin, 13 to Copenhagen and so forth.
24. Montias 1982, p. 218.
25. For examples of this function in the Antwerp export trade, see a forthcoming article by Neil De Marchi and Hans J. Van Miegroet (Marchi/Miegroet 1998).
26. Woude 1991. The text is the revised version of a lecture given by van der Woude during a conference at the Getty Center on 30 April-2 May 1987. For the source of van der Woude's figures, see Wijsenbeek-Olthuis 1987.
27. Montias 1990, pp. 64-67.
28. Nystad 1992, Montias 1993. For a reflection on this question which sides more with van der Woude than with Nystad, see Schwartz 1996.
29. Bok 1994, pp. 120-127. The figures are from Montias's database of Amsterdam inventories.
30. Vries, 1991, p. 258. De Vries' statement is based on two compendia - Peter Sutton's Dutch art in America and Christopher Wright's Paintings in Dutch museums - and on Michael Montias's analysis of the ratio between paintings by old and contemporaneous masters in Amsterdam collections. The same picture is confirmed by Montias's lists of Amsterdam painters, Marten Jan Bok's of artists in Utrecht and an analysis by the present author of the painters in the Union List of Artist's Names, as represented in Chart 1. According to de Vries (p. 261), curves drawn on the basis of masters now represented in museums "exaggerate this decline, but it is certainly real."
31. Bok 1994, pp.120-127.
32. Woude 1997, p. 115.
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